Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.035037 0.040821 0.047187 0.054701 0.063317 0.072879 0.084281
2025-08-24 0.026602 0.034195 0.043322 0.055058 0.069703 0.087326 0.110087
2025-08-31 0.020307 0.028478 0.039093 0.053797 0.073528 0.098964 0.134093
2025-09-07 0.017145 0.025947 0.038180 0.056248 0.082040 0.117278 0.168753
2025-09-14 0.014126 0.022929 0.035942 0.056310 0.087045 0.131266 0.199145
2025-09-21 0.011479 0.019894 0.033065 0.054814 0.089344 0.141412 0.224988
2025-09-28 0.009626 0.017722 0.031078 0.054234 0.092728 0.153273 0.254412
2025-10-05 0.008801 0.017092 0.031420 0.057345 0.102197 0.175361 0.301846
2025-10-12 0.007937 0.016224 0.031190 0.059384 0.110032 0.195514 0.348090
2025-10-19 0.006714 0.014458 0.029081 0.057776 0.111300 0.204756 0.376934
2025-10-26 0.005834 0.013195 0.027691 0.057237 0.114308 0.217130 0.412161
2025-11-02 0.004968 0.011798 0.025821 0.055491 0.114800 0.224970 0.439939
2025-11-09 0.004255 0.010616 0.024231 0.054141 0.115997 0.234432 0.472063
2025-11-16 0.003766 0.009845 0.023379 0.054170 0.119903 0.249344 0.515845
2025-11-23 0.003238 0.008878 0.021950 0.052767 0.120701 0.258306 0.549027
2025-11-30 0.003037 0.008678 0.022209 0.055091 0.129576 0.284098 0.617745
2025-12-07 0.002714 0.008100 0.021496 0.055109 0.133451 0.300073 0.668082
2025-12-14 0.002349 0.007338 0.020220 0.053623 0.133782 0.308658 0.703899
2025-12-21 0.002081 0.006785 0.019373 0.053045 0.136095 0.321639 0.750098
2025-12-28 0.002008 0.006786 0.019954 0.056086 0.147234 0.354863 0.842788
2026-01-04 0.001893 0.006638 0.020117 0.058081 0.156070 0.383734 0.928316
2026-01-11 0.001653 0.006049 0.018978 0.056505 0.155942 0.392238 0.969003
2026-01-18 0.001479 0.005635 0.018267 0.055976 0.158376 0.406863 1.024852